英国6月份通胀率跌至2.6%,低于经济学家此前预测的2.7%[1],较5月的2.8%进一步回落[1]。通胀率的下滑主要源于燃料、服装、运输和食品价格的下跌[1]。
英国国家统计局首席经济学家格兰特·菲茨纳指出,食品价格出现下跌,其中包括巧克力、人造黄油和牛肉等商品[1]。他补充说,由于夏季促销活动力度大于去年同期,服装价格也相应下降[1]。
英国财政大臣约翰·希利表示这是"家庭想听到的消息"[1],并宣布从1月起实施单程巴士票价上限2英镑的政策[1]。此外,政府还承诺推出电费增值税假期以进一步降低生活成本[1]。
英国央行目前维持基准利率在3.75%[1]。通胀率的超预期下行可能为央行推迟进一步加息提供支持。国际货币基金组织曾在4月发布的《世界经济展望》中预测,英国通胀率到年底将升至4%[1]。
Britain's inflation rate dropped to 2.6% in June, surpassing economist expectations of 2.7% and down from 2.8% in May. [1] The decline was driven by falling prices across fuel, clothing, transport, and food categories. [1]
Chancellor John Healey described the figure as "the message households want to hear," [1] while the government moved forward with cost-of-living measures including a £2 bus fare cap set to begin in January. [1] According to the Office for National Statistics' chief economist Grant Fitzner, food prices fell across items including chocolate, margarine, and beef, while clothing costs declined due to larger summer sales discounts compared to the previous year. [1]
The Bank of England's base rate currently stands at 3.75%, [1] and the inflation data may influence the central bank's interest rate trajectory following market concerns about potential further increases. Earlier this year, the International Monetary Fund projected in its April World Economic Outlook that UK inflation would rise to 4% by year-end. [1]