德国极右翼政党德国选择党（AfD）在萨克森-安哈尔特州州议会选举中取得创纪录成绩，获得43.8%至44%的得票率1491016，相比2021年该州选举的20.8%增长超过一倍4。根据初步官方结果，AfD在83个议席的州议会中获得39席4121316，成为最大党派，但距离单独执政所需的42席多数还差3席41213。这是德国战后以来，极右翼政党首次在州级选举中获得这样的执政机会5914。
执政的基督教民主联盟（CDU）遭遇自德国统一以来最严重的选举失败，得票率从2021年的37.1%跌至17.2%至17.4%46101213，几近腰斩10。总理弗里德里希·默茨表示这一结果令党"震撼到根基"261213，承认这是该党"数十年来最严重的选举失败"1114。默茨表示将继续留任总理11，但重申政府不会与AfD或左翼党合作8。出口民调显示，仅9%的选民赞成默茨的表现6，64%的德国选民对选举结果表示担忧61213。
组建政府前景困难
AfD虽未获得绝对多数，但竞选领导人、35岁的乌尔里希·西格蒙德宣称获得了"组建政府的明确授权"21216。他强调"我们的原则不可妥协"3，承诺让选民获得"安全的旧德国"7。然而，所有主流政党均明确拒绝与AfD合作239。CDU表示"不与极左或极右合作"15，绿党和社民党也排除了这一可能性23。
唯一可能的合作伙伴是左翼民粹主义政党瓦根克内希特联盟（BSW），该党获得5%以上支持率进入州议会315，并在过去表示对与AfD进行"实质合作"持开放态度3。若要完全排除AfD组建政府，需要CDU、社民党、绿党、左翼党和BSW五党联合，这在德国政治中极为罕见。
国际反响与深层影响
AfD的这次胜利引发欧洲和国际广泛关注。美国总统特朗普迅速在Truth Social平台分享了该州出口民调5。俄罗斯商人基里尔·德米特里耶夫称这是"历史性胜利"，暗示默茨总理被"羞辱"514。
欧盟担忧日益加深。欧盟外交政策负责人卡娅·卡拉斯将结果与俄罗斯混合威胁联系起来612，法国财政部长勒舒尔称这发出了"令人担忧的信号"2613。波兰总理图斯克批评称只有"白痴或叛徒"才能为AfD欢呼14。大屠杀幸存者埃娃·乌姆劳夫表示选举结果"让我感到害怕"2613。
默茨警告，这一结果"改变了整个德国"，并将"在国际舞台产生影响"17。他指出AfD反对支持乌克兰，许多党员与俄罗斯政府关系密切17。AfD主张停止对乌克兰的军事援助、解除对莫斯科的制裁和重新购买俄罗斯能源5，而德国是乌克兰最大单一捐助者5。
AfD党共主席艾丽丝·韦德尔表示，该党目标是在2029年联邦选举中获得至少40%支持率2311，现民调中AfD支持率已达28%11。柏林和梅克伦堡-前波美拉尼亚州将于9月20日进行州选举，AfD希望继续扩大优势6811。
Germany's far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) has secured a record-breaking performance in the Saxony-Anhalt state election, capturing between 43.8% and 44% of the vote.141016 The party won 39 seats in the 83-seat state parliament, falling short of the 42 seats needed for an absolute majority.412 This marks the strongest showing for a far-right nationalist party in Germany since World War II and represents a dramatic surge from the party's 20.8% result five years earlier.4
The election outcome has dealt a severe blow to Chancellor Friedrich Merz's Christian Democratic Union (CDU), which plummeted to 17.2% of the vote—a decline of nearly 20 percentage points from its previous performance.101213 Merz acknowledged the result as "the party's most serious electoral defeat in decades" and stated it had "shocked the party to its foundation."2611 The Social Democrats garnered approximately 8–9% support, while the Greens and the left-wing populist BSW (Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht) both cleared the 5% threshold to enter parliament.26
The AfD's path to forming a government remains uncertain despite its plurality. The party has been classified by German domestic intelligence as a "confirmed right-wing extremist" organization, prompting all major mainstream parties to pledge they will not cooperate with it.2315 AfD co-leader Alice Weidel declared the result a "clear mandate to govern," asserting that "CDU/CSU will never again win a federal election."23 Candidate Ulrich Siegmund, age 35, stated the party would not compromise on its principles.37 However, the left-wing populist BSW has signaled potential willingness to collaborate with the AfD on certain issues, though mainstream parties maintain their refusal to work with the far-right party.23
The election has reverberated internationally and domestically. Exit polls revealed that 64% of German voters expressed concern about the result.261213 Chancellor Merz warned that the AfD's success "changes all of Germany" and will have repercussions on the international stage, citing the party's opposition to supporting Ukraine.17 U.S. President Donald Trump quickly shared exit polling data on his Truth Social platform, while Russian businessman Kirill Dmitriev called the result "historic."5 French Finance Minister Bruno Le Maire described the outcome as "sending a very concerning signal," and over 2,500 protesters gathered at Berlin's Brandenburg Gate to demonstrate against the AfD.2612 Holocaust survivor Eva Umlauff stated the election result "scared" her.26
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