德国极右翼政党德国选择党（AfD）在萨克森-安哈尔特州州议会选举中取得重大突破，出口民调显示该党获得44.5%的支持率123，远远领先执政的中右翼基民盟（CDU）的18.5%12。投票率相比2021年同期显著提升，中午时段投票率已达34%，较2021年同期的22.4%增加了50%1。这场选举吸引了来自世界各地的关注，约500名国际记者注册报道此次投票，其中包括来自美国、加拿大、台湾和中国的媒体机构1。
若出口民调数据最终确认，这将标志着二战后极右翼政党首次在德国州级获得权力2。不过，该党最终是否能组建政府仍存在不确定性3。AfD州党领导人西格蒙德已拒绝与其他政党进行联合执政协议2。萨克森-安哈尔特州人口为210万2，5%的议会进入门槛可能影响AfD是否获得多数席位2。
这一结果对德国总理默茨构成了政治考验。默茨曾以反对党领导人身份承诺要将AfD的支持率减半，而本次选举结果表明这一战略尚未达到预期效果1。根据党派和政府消息人士，默茨不会在周日或周一亲自对选举结果发表评论1。
经济学家对该党的胜利前景表示担忧。经济学家莫妮卡·施尼策尔警告称："如果AfD接管政府，该州作为技术工人和企业地点的吸引力将明显下降"1。德国经济研究所主任迈克尔·胡特更指出，如果没有移民，到2045年该州工作年龄人口可能缩小约四分之一1。此外，西门子能源首席执行官克里斯蒂安·布鲁赫表示，AfD关于回归煤炭和核能的能源政策对德国工业不利1。
Germany's far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) has achieved a historic breakthrough in the Saxony-Anhalt state election, with exit polls showing the party commanding 44–44.5% of the vote.123 This result far outpaces the governing center-right Christian Democratic Union (CDU), which garnered 18.5% support.12 The strong showing marks a potential turning point in German politics, as the AfD could become the first far-right party to hold regional power since World War II if it succeeds in forming a government.23
The election drew exceptional turnout, with voter participation reaching 34% by midday compared to 22.4% at the same point in the 2021 state election—a 50% increase.1 The international attention reflected the significance of the vote, as approximately 500 journalists from around the world, including media representatives from the United States, Canada, Taiwan, and China, registered to cover the election.1 However, the state party leader has already rejected any coalition arrangements with other parties, complicating the path to government formation.2
The AfD's strong performance poses considerable challenges for Chancellor Friedrich Merz, who previously committed as opposition leader to halving the party's support levels.1 Economists have warned that an AfD government could damage the state's economic appeal and workforce stability. Economist Monica Schnitzer stated: "If the AfD takes over government, the state's attractiveness as a location for technical workers and businesses will noticeably decline."1 Michael Huth, director of the German Institute for Economic Research, cautioned that without immigration, the state's working-age population could shrink by approximately one-quarter by 2045.1 Siemens Energy CEO Christian Bruch also criticized the AfD's energy policies, arguing that the party's advocacy for a return to coal and nuclear power would harm German industry.1 According to party and government sources, Merz is not expected to personally comment on the election results on Sunday or Monday.1
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