萨克森-安哈尔特州选举：极右翼AfD冲击德国州级权力

德国萨克森-安哈尔特州将举行州议会选举，该州选民面临的投票结果可能改写德国战后政治格局1。极右翼的德国选择党（AfD）在民调中支持率约40%，远超中右翼基督教民主联盟（CDU）的20%-30%1。若AfD赢得绝对多数席位，这将成为德国战后历史上首次右翼民粹政党在州级选举中获得权力1。

CDU自2002年以来一直领导该州政府，如今面临政治考验1。所有其他主要党派已排除与AfD联盟的可能性，这意味着若AfD未能单独获得多数，焦点将转向CDU是否会打破长期政策、考虑与AfD或左翼党合作1。这一结果将直接考验德国的政治"防火墙"政策，并可能对总理默茨及其党派造成压力1。

萨克森-安哈尔特州人口约210万，是德国16个联邦州之一1。根据现行规则，得票不足5%的小党派将失去议会代表权1。

Voters in the German state of Saxony-Anhalt are set to hold a state parliament election that has drawn significant attention both domestically and internationally 1. The far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) is leading in polls with approximately 40 percent support, substantially ahead of the center-right Christian Democratic Union (CDU), which polls at between 20 and 30 percent 1. If the AfD achieves an absolute majority, it would mark the first time since World War II that a right-wing populist party has won power at the state level in Germany 1.

The election outcome will test Germany's political "firewall" strategy and potentially create pressure on Chancellor Merz and his party 1. Saxony-Anhalt, home to approximately 2.1 million people and one of Germany's 16 federal states, has been governed by the CDU since 2002 1. Should the AfD fail to secure an outright majority, attention will shift to whether the CDU will abandon its longstanding policy of refusing to form coalitions with the AfD or the Left party 1. All other major political parties have already ruled out any alliance with the AfD 1. Meanwhile, smaller parties that fail to reach the 5 percent threshold will lose their parliamentary representation 1.