乌克兰国防科技顾问别斯克雷斯特诺夫发出严厉警告,称这场战争已升级为长程打击战,双方都将面临共同毁灭的局面。他表示"在这场战争中,没有人会赢得这场比赛,因为两国在战争后都会摧毁经济和基础设施"1。乌克兰正计划将每天的无人机攻击数量从约300架增加到1000架,瞄准俄罗斯的经济和军事目标1。与此同时,俄罗斯正在大幅扩充其武器库存,包括每月生产超过100枚高速弹道导弹1。
俄罗斯的无人机和导弹产能扩张规模令人瞩目。2024年8月,俄罗斯向乌克兰发射了2500架喷气式无人机,较7月的1500架有所增加,并计划到2027年生产约36000架喷气式无人机以及另外30000架低速活塞式无人机,还包括10000架Banderol巡航导弹和10000架Dan-T导弹1。俄罗斯还部署了人工智能技术引导无人机,乌克兰调查人员在7月发现Molniya无人机由AI而非无线电引导1。
平民伤亡持续增加。联合国数据显示,2024年7月乌克兰有437名平民被杀,2610人受伤,创下2022年3月以来的最高纪录1。普京本周表示俄罗斯军队已被"命令准备并实施"大规模打击乌克兰能源设施1。乌克兰面临严重的防御困难,总统上月要求在冬季前获得300枚美国爱国者防空拦截器,但目前严重缺少该系统1。
Ukraine's defense technology adviser has issued a stark warning about the trajectory of the conflict with Russia, cautioning that continued warfare will result in mutual devastation with no victor emerging. According to Sergei Beskrestnov, "In this war, nobody will win this battle, because both countries will have destroyed economies and infrastructure after the war."1 The stark assessment comes as both nations escalate their drone and missile arsenals in what has become a long-range strikes campaign targeting economic and military capabilities.
Ukraine is planning to expand its daily drone attack operations from approximately 300 units to 1,000 aircraft, targeting Russian economic and military infrastructure.1 Russia, meanwhile, has significantly intensified its aerial assault on Ukraine, launching 2,500 jet-powered drones in August 2024 compared to 1,500 in July, and has outlined ambitious production goals for coming years.1 Russia plans to manufacture roughly 36,000 low-speed piston-driven drones by 2027, alongside 10,000 Banderol cruise missiles and 10,000 Dan-T missiles.1 Additionally, Russia produces over 100 high-speed ballistic missiles monthly.1 This week, President Putin announced that Russian military forces have been "ordered to prepare and implement" large-scale strikes against Ukrainian energy infrastructure.1
The human toll of this escalation has been severe. According to United Nations data, 437 Ukrainian civilians were killed and 2,610 wounded in July 2024, marking the highest monthly toll since March 2022.1 Ukraine faces critical shortages of American Patriot air defense interceptors, with the country's president requesting 300 units before winter.1 Russia has incorporated artificial intelligence into its drone operations—Ukrainian investigators discovered in July that Molniya drones are guided by AI rather than radio signals.1
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