德国萨克森-安哈尔特州将于2026年9月6日举行州议会选举 1。尽管该州仅有160万选民 1，但这场选举对联邦政府构成了重大政治挑战 1。民调显示右翼极端党派德国选择党(AfD)领先其他政党，甚至可能获得绝对多数 1，这威胁到联邦政府的稳定 1。与此同时，社民党(SPD)的预测得票率仅为8%-9% 1。
2025年5月被选为总理的默茨对选举可能带来的冲击做出了回应 1。他明确表示"联邦州议会选举的结果不会危及联邦政府的稳定" 1，同时坚定推进养老金改革，尽管面临党内批评 1。默茨设定了一个目标：将AfD的支持率降低一半 1。图林州内政部长格奥格·迈尔则发出警告称，"如果AfD政治家成为萨克森-安哈尔特州内政部长，在我看来这将是德国的严重安全风险" 1。
Germany's Saxony-Anhalt state will hold parliamentary elections on September 6, 2026, a vote with significant implications for federal stability despite the state's relatively modest electorate of 1.6 million voters 1. Polls indicate the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party is leading other parties and could potentially secure an absolute majority 1, a prospect that threatens the stability of Chancellor Merz's government and places mounting pressure on his administration.
Chancellor Merz, elected to his position in May 2025, has set an ambitious goal to halve AfD support levels 1. He has publicly stated that "the results of state parliament elections will not jeopardize the stability of the federal government" 1, seeking to reassure voters about the resilience of the national administration. However, current polling projections show the SPD receiving only 8 to 9 percent of the vote 1, underscoring the challenging political landscape for centrist parties in the state.
Concerns about an AfD-led state administration run deep among federal officials. Thuringia's SPD Interior Minister Georg Mayer warned that "if AfD politicians become the Interior Minister of Saxony-Anhalt, in my view this will be a serious security risk for Germany" 1. Despite these anxieties, Merz has remained committed to advancing pension reform initiatives, even as he faces criticism from within his own party over the direction of policy 1.
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