英国财政大臣希利警告首份预算面临严峻挑战

英国财政大臣约翰·希利表示，中东地区冲突正对英国经济施压，推高通胀和借贷成本。1希利指出，"中东发生的事情影响通胀、增长、借贷成本"。1这些压力给定于10月28日公布的首份预算带来了巨大挑战。1

当前国债收益率已达18年高位。1希利承诺将遵守财政规则，同时需要在工党竞选承诺与削减支出之间寻求平衡。1根据财政大臣里夫斯在3月做出的基础承诺，英国政府财政活动的操作空间目标为24亿英镑。1此外，现行的养老金三重锁定机制导致养老金账单增加约16亿英镑，工党也在考虑改革这一制度。1工党竞选承诺在五年内削减公共支出约80亿英镑。1

UK Chancellor John Healey has cautioned that the government's inaugural budget, scheduled for October 28, will encounter significant fiscal pressures stemming from geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.1 According to Healey, "what happens in the Middle East affects inflation, growth, borrowing costs."1

The Chancellor emphasized his commitment to adhering to fiscal rules while navigating competing demands, including Labour's pre-election pledges and the need to reduce public expenditure.1 The government has set a target of £24 billion in fiscal space based on parameters established following Rachel Reeves' March statement.1 One major budgetary challenge stems from the triple lock on pensions, which has increased the pension bill by approximately £16 billion.1 The Labour Party's broader fiscal commitment involves cutting £80 billion in public spending over five years.1 Against this backdrop, the Treasury is considering reforms to both the welfare system and the pension triple lock mechanism as it prepares the forthcoming budget.