日本央行政策制定者高田肇近日表示需要更加灵活地行动,此言论引发市场对日本央行加息的广泛猜测1。受此影响,日元兑美元升值超过1.7%,升至一个月高点155.851。根据市场交易数据,投资者认为日本央行在9月17日召开的下次例会上有77%的概率上调政策利率1。
日本副财务大臣水村篤志表示政策制定者对当前形势"既不满意也不放心",并称将"保持高度警惕状态"1。日本央行主要政策利率目前维持在1%,上次调整时间为7月1。与此同时,全球债券市场因油价上升引发通胀担忧而大幅抛售,投资者正在重新评估主要经济体的利率预期1。美联储主席凯文·沃什在杰克逊霍尔央行会议上表示,如果通胀不能向2%目标靠拢,美联储将"有更多工作要做"1。在英国市场,10年期政府债券收益率在本周早前触及2008年以来最高水平5.3%,周四上午交易中徘徊在5.1%左右1。
The Japanese yen strengthened more than 1.7 percent against the dollar, reaching a one-month high of 155.85, following signals from Bank of Japan policymakers that suggest a potential shift toward tighter monetary policy.1 BOJ policymaker Hajime Takata indicated the need to act with greater flexibility, remarks that have fueled market expectations of an imminent rate increase.1 Financial markets are pricing in a 77 percent probability that the BOJ will raise its benchmark policy rate at its next meeting beginning September 17.1
The currency movement reflects broader reassessment of interest rate expectations across major economies as global bond markets face pressure from rising oil prices and inflation concerns.1 Japan's Deputy Finance Minister Atsushi Mizumura stated the authorities are "neither satisfied nor at ease," with policymakers maintaining "a highly vigilant stance."1 The BOJ's main policy rate has remained unchanged at 1 percent since July.1 Meanwhile, Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Walsh signaled at the Jackson Hole central banking conference that the Fed has "more work to do" if inflation fails to move toward its 2 percent target.1 Ten-year UK government bond yields hovered around 5.1 percent in Thursday trading, having touched their highest level since 2008 earlier in the week at 5.3 percent.1
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