世界气象组织于9月3日发布最新评估,称当前厄尔尼诺现象将持续至2027年2月,其强度可能超过过去四十年的观测记录。1该机构主席塞莱斯特·萨乌洛表示,对这一持续时间有接近100%的把握。1
热带太平洋海表温度已远高于历史平均水平,某些地区下层海洋温度比正常值高出超过8摄氏度。1这种极端的海洋变暖将加剧全球范围内极端高温、干旱和洪涝灾害的风险,对全球经济和民众生计构成威胁。1
联合国秘书长安东尼奥·古特雷斯就此发出警告,指出"地球进入了未知的海域,这些海域在升温"。12023至2024年的厄尔尼诺事件已导致2024年成为有记录以来最热的一年。1
The World Meteorological Organization released an update on September 3 warning that the current El Niño phenomenon is expected to persist until February 2027 and may reach unprecedented strength over the past four decades 1. Tropical Pacific sea surface temperatures have already risen significantly above historical averages, with subsurface ocean temperatures in certain regions exceeding normal levels by more than 8 degrees Celsius 1.
WMO President Celeste Saulo expressed near-complete certainty regarding the El Niño's continuation through February 2027 1. The intensifying climate pattern poses escalating risks of extreme heat, drought, and flooding globally, with potential consequences for the world economy and livelihoods 1. UN Secretary-General António Guterres underscored the gravity of the situation, stating that "the planet is entering unknown waters, and those waters are warming" 1. The 2023-2024 El Niño event already contributed to 2024 becoming the hottest year on record 1.
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