联合国警告世界正进入极端天气的"危险区域"1。世界气象组织的数据表明,当前厄尔尼诺现象可能是70多年来最强的,太平洋中部和东部热带地区海面温度可能升高接近4摄氏度以上平均值1,这将使其成为至少自1950年以来最强的厄尔尼诺现象1。联合国秘书长古特雷斯表示"厄尔尼诺在我们眼前被放大了"1,世界气象组织秘书长塞莱斯特·萨乌洛警告称"厄尔尼诺有可能对全球社区和经济造成沉重打击"1。
这一现象的影响预计将持续至少到2027年2月1。厄尔尼诺改变全球天气模式,导致部分地区干旱、其他地区强台风和洪水。中国预计今年将有7个台风登陆,7月已经历3个台风造成数十人死亡1;印度尼西亚已焚毁超过107,000公顷土地1。秘鲁已部署美国医疗援助船USNS Comfort应对灾害1。此外,巴拿马运河船只通行量将减少超过10%,该国年收入约30亿美元受影响1。各国正加强预警系统和预防措施以应对这一超级厄尔尼诺现象的潜在危害1。
The United Nations has cautioned that the world is entering a "dangerous zone" of extreme weather as a powerful El Niño phenomenon unfolds.1 The World Meteorological Organization has indicated that current sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern tropical Pacific are rising to approximately 4 degrees Celsius above average, making this potentially the strongest El Niño in over 70 years.1 The effects are expected to persist through at least February 2027.1
The far-reaching consequences of this climate pattern are already being felt across multiple regions. Panama Canal traffic is projected to decline by more than 10%, threatening approximately $3 billion in annual revenue for the country.1 China anticipates seven typhoons will make landfall this year, with three already occurring in July that have resulted in dozens of deaths.1 Indonesia has seen more than 107,000 hectares of land destroyed by fires.1 In response to mounting humanitarian needs, Peru has deployed the U.S. medical assistance ship USNS Comfort.1
International leaders have emphasized the severity of the situation. UN Secretary-General António Guterres stated that "El Niño has been amplified before our eyes,"1 while World Meteorological Organization Secretary-General Celeste Saulo warned that "El Niño has the potential to deliver a heavy blow to the global community and economy."1 Countries are strengthening early warning systems and implementing preventive measures to mitigate the anticipated damage from altered global weather patterns that will bring droughts to some regions while intensifying typhoons and flooding in others.1
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