以色列总理本杰明·内塔尼亚胡正为10月27日的大选做准备,他面临的最大威胁并非来自政治对手,而是来自右翼盟友阵营内部的分裂。1极端主义部长伊塔马尔·本-格维尔和贝扎莱尔·斯莫特里克领导的小党派可能因为分散支持者票数而削弱内塔尼亚胡的连任前景。1
为了稳固其政治基础,内塔尼亚胡正敦促这些党派合并成更大的联盟,以便跨越以色列议会3.25%的代表门槛。1内塔尼亚胡表示,"团结则胜,分裂则败"。1这一历史教训来自2021年的大选,当时小党未能突破门槛,导致内塔尼亚胡失去权力,但他在2022年重新获得执政权。1120席的以色列议会中,组建政府需要获得61席多数。1党派合并的截止日期为9月8日。1内塔尼亚胡在位时间已接近17年的几乎不间断统治。1
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is preparing for an October 27 election, but his primary challenge comes not from political opponents across the spectrum, but rather from fracturing within his own right-wing alliance 1. Small parties led by extremist ministers Itamar Ben-Gvir and Bezalel Smotrich pose a significant threat to Netanyahu's reelection prospects by potentially fragmenting voter support 1. To counter this risk, Netanyahu is pressing these parties to merge into a larger coalition that can surpass the 3.25 percent parliamentary threshold required for representation 1.
The stakes are substantial in Israel's 120-seat parliament, where a majority of 61 seats is needed to form a government 1. Netanyahu has emphasized the necessity of coalition unity, stating that "when we unite, we win; when we split up, we lose" 1. The deadline for party mergers is set for September 8 1. His appeal reflects lessons from the 2021 election, when small allied parties failed to cross the threshold, contributing to Netanyahu's loss of power, though he regained it the following year 1. After nearly 17 years of almost uninterrupted rule, Netanyahu's path to continued leadership now depends on maintaining cohesion among his fractious right-wing base 1.
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