澳大利亚财政部长查莫斯为政府推行的负扣税和资本利得税折扣改革进行辩护,承认这些政策导致了房价下跌1。财政部建模预测房价增长将放缓2%,但实际跌幅远超预期1。今年悉尼房价下跌6.7%,墨尔本下跌6.3%1,而澳洲大银行预测跌幅可能高达13%1。
反对党影子财政部长威尔逊批评政府改革政策,指控政府"主动推行通胀议程,着眼于增加税收收入和刺激通胀,进而对通胀征税"1。房地产市场疲软的迹象显现在多个指标上:6月季度首次置业贷款数下降2.9%至29,319人1,投资者贷款环比下降8.6%1,7月建筑批准环比下降3.6%1,新房批准下降4.2%1。过去五年房价中位数从2021年中期的70.1万澳元上升至上月的94万澳元,增幅达34.8%1。议会第一代住房不平等特别委员会将进行最后公开听证1。
Treasurer Jim Chalmers is defending the government's reforms to negative gearing and capital gains tax concessions, even as property prices fall well beyond Treasury predictions. 1 The Treasury had modelled a 2 percent slowdown in house price growth, yet Sydney and Melbourne have experienced declines of 6.7 percent and 6.3 percent respectively this year, far exceeding forecasts. 1 Commonwealth Bank predictions suggest even steeper falls of up to 13 percent could occur. 1 Chalmers stated that "Treasury assumption is over the next couple of years, not the last couple of months," indicating the government views current volatility as short-term. 1
Opposition shadow treasurer Tim Wilson has criticized the government, arguing that "their active inflation agenda is focused on stoking revenue, stoking inflation, then taxing the inflation." 1 The government's housing policy changes have coincided with broader market headwinds, including a 2.9 percent decline in first-home buyer loans in the June quarter to 29,319 and an 8.6 percent drop in investor lending. 1 Construction activity has also slowed, with building approvals falling 3.6 percent in July, new house approvals down 4.2 percent, and Queensland experiencing the steepest decline at 5.5 percent. 1
The median house price has risen 34.8 percent over the past five years, climbing from $701,000 in mid-2021 to $940,000 last month. 1 Former Prime Minister Paul Keating has supported the reform direction, stating "Making housing more affordable is a great thing to be doing, and if we've lost 10 or 15 per cent on house values, so what?" 1 Parliament's Select Committee on First Generation Home Ownership Inequality is preparing to hold its final public hearing on the issue. 1
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