澳大利亚最近的民调数据呈现出对各政党不利的混合结果。Morgan民调(8月24-30日,样本1585人)显示工党获得29.5%的支持率,环比上升2.5个百分点,而One Nation下降3.5个百分点至23.5%,联盟党则小幅下滑0.5个百分点至20.5%1。然而Essential民调(8月26-30日,样本1017人)给出了相反的趋势:工党支持率下跌5个百分点至26%,联盟党则上升4个百分点至26%,One Nation小幅回落2个百分点至23%1。按照选民偏好排序,Essential民调显示联盟党以50-45领先工党1。
不同机构对One Nation与联盟党合计支持率的估计存在差异。Morgan民调的合计数为44%,而Newspoll、Essential和Redbridge民调分别为49%、49%和50%1。总理Albanese的净支持率在Essential民调中跌至历史低位,达到负21,其中56%的受访者表示不满意,35%表示满意1。在新南威尔士州层面,8月19-26日的民调(样本1028人)显示工党领先,获得33%支持率,而联盟党上升5个百分点至25%,One Nation下降4个百分点至23%1。该州民调预计工党将在州议会的42个席位中获得15席,未能获得绝对多数1。
与此同时,加拿大自由党在周一举行的三场联邦补选中全部获胜,现已拥有343席议会中的173席,确保保持多数地位1。
Australia's political landscape remains uncertain as recent polling data reveals significant fluctuations in voter support across major parties. The Morgan poll conducted from August 24-30 among 1,585 respondents showed Labor gaining ground at 29.5 percent, up 2.5 points, while One Nation dropped 3.5 points to 23.5 percent and the Coalition fell slightly to 20.5 percent 1. However, the Essential poll taken August 26-30 with 1,017 participants presented a starkly different picture, recording Labor at 26 percent (down 5 points) and the Coalition at 26 percent (up 4 points), with One Nation holding at 23 percent 1. When voter preference rankings are considered, the Coalition leads Labor 50-45 in the Essential poll 1.
Combined support for One Nation and the Coalition varies markedly across polling firms, ranging from 44 percent in Morgan to between 49 and 50 percent across Newspoll, Essential, and Redbridge polls 1. Prime Minister Albanese's net approval rating has reached a historic low of minus 21 in the Essential poll, with 56 percent expressing dissatisfaction and only 35 percent approving 1. In New South Wales state polling conducted August 19-26 among 1,028 respondents, Labor holds 33 percent support against the Coalition's 25 percent (up 5 points) and One Nation's 23 percent (down 4 points), though state parliament projections suggest Labor would secure only 15 of 42 seats, falling short of an absolute majority 1.
评论
还没有评论,欢迎留下第一条。