瑞银证券和渣打银行近日发布报告,对中国A股前景表示乐观。1瑞银证券分析师孟磊指出,在上市公司盈利复苏和增量资金持续净流入的推动下,A股年内有望保持稳步反弹态势。1渣打银行则建议超配中国内地股票,尤其看好科技和通信服务板块。1
从盈利数据看,支撑这一判断的基础较为扎实。二季度全部A股盈利同比增长29.4%,较一季度的9.3%明显加快。1上半年全部A股盈利增长19.5%,显著高于2025年全年的增长水平。1营收方面,一季度、二季度和上半年全部A股营收分别实现5.1%、9.8%和7.6%的同比增长。1盈利质量也有所提升,二季度非金融板块毛利率为19.2%,同比扩张141个基点;净利率为6.1%,同比扩张92个基点。1此外,7月中国出口同比增幅近24%,为经济增长提供了有力支撑。1
UBS Securities and Standard Chartered Bank have released reports projecting continued strength in China's A-share market.1 UBS Securities analyst Meng Lei attributes the outlook to recovering corporate profitability and sustained inflows of fresh capital, expecting the domestic equity market to maintain its steady rebound for the remainder of the year.1 Standard Chartered Bank recommends overweighting mainland Chinese stocks, with particular emphasis on the technology and telecommunications services sectors.1
Corporate earnings have demonstrated notable acceleration.1 Second-quarter earnings for all A-shares grew 29.4% year-over-year, a significant jump from first-quarter growth of 9.3%.1 For the first half of the year, cumulative A-share earnings expanded 19.5%, substantially outpacing the full-year 2025 earnings growth rate.1 Revenue growth also accelerated, with first-quarter, second-quarter, and first-half increases of 5.1%, 9.8%, and 7.6% respectively.1 Profitability metrics among non-financial sectors showed improvement, with second-quarter gross margins reaching 19.2%—up 141 basis points year-over-year—while net margins expanded to 6.1%, a 92 basis-point increase.1 External demand remained supportive, with July exports climbing approximately 24% year-over-year.1
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