伊朗正面临严重的燃料短缺危机。该国日均汽油缺口约1500万升,导致全国加油站出现大规模排队现象。1驾驶员报告在加油站排队时间长达数小时,有些人甚至在车内过夜等待加油。1这一困境源于战争破坏、进口困难和美国制裁等多重因素。1
为应对短缺,伊朗波斯湾星油公司已开始在汽油中添加甲醇作为含氧剂,浓度约0.5%。1这一做法在伊朗燃料标准允许的范围内,该标准允许甲醇浓度最高达3%。1与此同时,政府面临是否提价的政治困境。经济学家哈桑·曼苏尔表示政府正在为提价做政治准备。1但任何仓促的价格上涨都可能带来风险——2019年11月伊朗曾因突然提高汽油价格引发全国抗议和致命性镇压。1此外,伊朗国家石油公司对中央银行和商业银行的债务已达数百亿欧元,进一步制约了政府的政策调整空间。1
Iran is grappling with an acute gasoline shortage that is straining the nation's transportation infrastructure and testing government policies. The country experiences a daily fuel deficit of approximately 15 million liters, equivalent to 4 million gallons, forcing drivers to endure extended wait times at pumps across the nation 1. Motorists have reported queuing for hours at gas stations, with some remaining in their vehicles overnight to secure fuel 1.
The crisis stems from a combination of war-related infrastructure damage, difficulties in importing petroleum products, and the impact of American sanctions 1. In response to supply constraints, the state-owned Persian Gulf Star Oil Company has begun testing methanol as an oxygenate additive in gasoline at a concentration of approximately 0.5 percent, well within Iran's fuel standards that permit methanol levels up to 3 percent 1. However, the government faces a politically delicate decision regarding fuel price increases, as previous attempts have triggered severe backlash. A sudden price hike in November 2019 sparked nationwide protests and resulted in deadly crackdowns 1.
Economist Hassan Mansour has indicated that the government is preparing politically for a potential price adjustment 1. This consideration occurs as the National Iranian Oil Company carries debt to domestic central and commercial banks totaling hundreds of billions of euros 1.
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