全球政府债券市场面临大幅抛售压力。英国10年期国债收益率升至接近5.3%,创2008年中期以来的最高水平1。美伊冲突升温引发投资者担忧,油价随之上升至约95美元每桶,进而推高全球通胀预期,促使市场参与者大规模退出债券头寸1。
这一波动对各国经济造成连锁影响。英国财政官约翰·希利面临严峻的财政挑战,德意志银行估计,在10月28日预算公布前,英国可用的财政操作空间可能从260亿英镑萎缩至少于140亿英镑1。亚太股市亦受冲击,日本日经225指数下跌2.85%,中国CSI 300指数下跌1.4%,韩国KOSPI指数下跌3.3%1。为应对市场波动,美国财政部门已采取行动试图干预金融市场,以稳定日元和美债收益率1。
A widespread selloff in government bonds has gripped global markets, with British 10-year gilt yields climbing to their highest levels since mid-2008, approaching 5.3 percent 1. The sharp retreat from fixed-income assets reflects growing concerns about inflation, fueled by escalating US-Iran tensions that have pushed crude oil prices to approximately $95 per barrel 1. The combination of geopolitical risk and rising energy costs has prompted investors to reassess their positions across developed economies.
The market turbulence is creating fresh headwinds for fiscal authorities. UK Chancellor John Healey faces mounting pressure as rising borrowing costs erode available fiscal space ahead of the October 28 budget announcement; Deutsche Bank estimates that the government's usable fiscal room could narrow from £26 billion to less than £14 billion 1. Asian markets have also absorbed significant losses, with Japan's Nikkei 225 index declining 2.85 percent, China's CSI 300 falling 1.4 percent, and South Korea's KOSPI dropping 3.3 percent 1. The US Treasury Department has attempted to intervene in financial markets to stabilize both the yen and US Treasury yields 1.
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