特朗普政府与伊朗的冲突已持续七个月,远超最初的预期。1这场冲突最初被称为"小军事行动",预计在数周内结束。1上周,美国财政部长斯科特·贝塞特宣布启动"经济流亡行动",对伊朗实施大规模经济制裁,将其称为"经济D日"。1然而,分析人士指出,这一策略难以奏效,因为中国和俄罗斯拒绝接受这些制裁。1伊朗的邻国巴基斯坦、伊拉克和土耳其也尚未表示将执行制裁。1
伊朗对美国提出了多项条件,包括全线停火、解冻资产、战争赔偿、获得管理霍尔木兹海峡的权利以及永久结束美以对伊朗的威胁。1本周双方继续交换打击,美国针对伊朗拉拉克岛进行了轰炸,伊斯兰革命卫队随后对约旦和阿联酋的美军基地进行了报复。1
专家认为,实现和平的唯一途径是双方进行直接谈判。1特朗普政府曾在6月与伊朗领导层签署谅解备忘录,但因协议条款对伊朗有利,之后又重新发动了攻击。1
The conflict between the Trump administration and Iran has now persisted for seven months, far exceeding initial expectations despite being characterized as a "small military operation" projected to conclude within weeks.1 As the impasse continues, the Trump administration announced "Operation Economic Outcast," a sweeping sanctions campaign that Treasury Secretary Scott Bassett described as an "economic D-Day."1 However, analysts question whether this approach can compel Iranian surrender, particularly given that China and Russia have rejected the sanctions regime and neighboring countries including Pakistan, Iraq, and Turkey have not committed to enforcing the measures.1
This week saw renewed exchanges of strikes, with American forces targeting Iran's Larak Island while the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps retaliated against U.S. military bases in Jordan and the United Arab Emirates.1 Iran's stated demands for ending the conflict include a comprehensive ceasefire, unfreezing of assets, war reparations, control over Strait of Hormuz administration, and permanent cessation of American and Israeli threats.1 Trump and Iranian leadership signed a memorandum of understanding in June, yet the conflict resumed after the Trump administration determined the agreement's terms favored Iran.1 Experts contend that direct negotiations based on that June accord represent the only realistic pathway to resolution.1
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