德国8月通胀率升至2.9%,较7月的2.8%环比上升0.1个百分点,创自2023年12月以来新高1。能源价格同比上涨10.5%是推高通胀的主要因素1,受中东局势紧张和莱茵河低水位影响1。相比之下,食品价格同比仅上涨0.1%1,服务价格同比上涨2.8%1,核心通胀率(剔除食品和能源)为2.4%1。
德国央行预计未来通胀率可能继续上升1,市场对欧洲央行进一步加息的预期随之升温1。欧洲央行已于2024年6月宣布近三年来首次加息,随后在7月维持利率不变1。此外,德国汽车俱乐部预计2026年可能成为德国迄今加油成本最高的一年1。
Germany's inflation rate rose to 2.9% in August, up 0.1 percentage point from July's 2.8% and marking the highest level since December 2023, when it stood at 3.7% 1. Energy prices emerged as the primary driver of inflation, surging 10.5% year-over-year 1, a surge attributed to tensions in the Middle East and low water levels on the Rhine River 1. By contrast, food prices increased by only 0.1% annually, while service prices rose 2.8% 1.
Core inflation, which excludes food and energy, reached 2.4% 1. The German Bundesbank has signaled that inflation may continue climbing in the near term 1, adding to market expectations of potential further rate increases from the European Central Bank, which announced its first interest rate hike in nearly three years in June 2024 and held rates steady in July 1. The German automobile club has projected that 2026 could become the country's most expensive year for fuel costs to date 1.
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