美国周日对伊朗发动一个月来首次军事行动，对霍尔木兹海峡的火箭发射器进行了打击1。这一事件立即冲击了全球金融市场。标普500指数下跌0.5%，道琼斯工业平均指数下跌0.6%（333点），纳斯达克下跌0.4%1。受地缘政治局势升温影响，布伦特原油价格上升2.8%，升至每桶90.59美元1。澳洲股市期货显示开盘将下跌31点或0.3%1。
油价上升进一步加剧了全球通胀压力。美国8月汽油全国平均价格首次在整个月内每天都超过4美元/加仑1，推高了运输成本。与此同时，劳动力市场也显现疲软迹象。7月美国就业市场意外停滞，雇主裁员23000人，劳动部修正数据显示5月和6月合计减少103000个工作岗位1。在此背景下，美联储主席凯文·沃什周五表示通胀仍过高，暗示可能需要加息1。美联储下一次通胀更新将在9月11日进行，此前的会议美联储加息概率为66%1。
中东局势继续紧张。美国与伊朗的冲突已持续6个多月，霍尔木兹海峡占全球石油运输的约20%1。阿联酋周一表示拦截了伊朗无人机1。能源股出现分化，埃克森美孚上升1.7%，雪佛龙上升1.5%；而公用事业股遭冷遇，爱迪生电气下跌23.8%，太平洋电气公司下跌18.8%1。
The United States conducted its first military operation against Iran in a month on Sunday, striking rocket launchers near the Strait of Hormuz, triggering a sell-off on Wall Street and pushing crude prices higher.1 The S&P 500 fell 0.5%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 0.6% (333 points), and the Nasdaq dropped 0.4%.1 Brent crude oil prices rose 2.8% to $90.59 per barrel.1 The selloff is expected to extend to Australian markets, with futures indicating the ASX will open down 31 points or 0.3%.1
The Middle East tensions come against a backdrop of persistent inflation concerns in the United States. The national average gasoline price exceeded $4 per gallon for every day in August—a first for the entire month.1 Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Walsh stated on Friday that inflation remains elevated, hinting that further rate increases may be necessary.1 The Fed's next inflation update is scheduled for September 11, with markets pricing in a 66% probability of a rate hike at the previous meeting.1 Adding to economic headwinds, the US job market unexpectedly stalled in July, with employers cutting 23,000 positions, while the Labor Department revised downward its estimates for May and June by a combined 103,000 jobs.1
The escalation in the Strait of Hormuz, a chokepoint accounting for approximately 20% of global oil transport, has intensified geopolitical risks.1 The United Arab Emirates reported on Monday that it intercepted Iranian drones.1 Energy stocks showed mixed performance, with ExxonMobil rising 1.7% and Chevron up 1.5%, while Edison Electric fell 23.8% and Pacific Gas and Electric dropped 18.8%.1
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