受少子化影响，中国教育机构面临大规模缩减。2025年全国小学较前一年减少约8000所，幼儿园减少2.14万所，合计每天平均关闭近81所教育机构[1]。这一趋势反映了中国学龄儿童数量的急剧下降。
幼儿人数的下滑尤为明显，从2020年的4818.26万人下降至2025年的3225.52万人，降幅超过30%[1]。与此同时，2025年全国小学仅剩12.83万所，在校生为1亿178.29万人，较前一年减少406万人[1]。幼儿园规模也在持续萎缩，在达到2022年的28.92万所高峰后，3年间累计减少近6万所[1]。师资队伍同步调整，2025年幼儿园专任教师较前一年减少21.93万人，较2022年高峰值减少63.16万人[1]。
面对招生困难，一些学校开始显现压力。小学招生压力普遍存在，部分明星小学更是出现招生严重不足的现象[1]。展望未来，东北师范大学预测2026年小学入学人数将进一步降至约1234万人，到2029年将跌至928万人[1]。
China's demographic crisis is accelerating school closures at an unprecedented pace, with approximately 81 primary schools and kindergartens shutting down each day in 2025 [1]. The combined closures total roughly 29,400 institutions, comprising about 8,000 primary schools and 21,400 kindergartens compared to the previous year [1].
The decline reflects a steep drop in the child population. The number of kindergarten-age children has plummeted from 48.18 million in 2020 to 32.26 million in 2025, representing a decrease exceeding 30 percent [1]. Primary school enrollment has contracted by 4.06 million students year-over-year, leaving the nation with only 1.283 million primary schools housing approximately 101.78 million students [1]. Meanwhile, the kindergarten teaching workforce contracted by 219,300 educators in 2025 alone, and has declined by 631,600 positions from the 2022 peak [1].
The trend is expected to accelerate further. Northeast Normal University projects that primary school enrollment will drop to approximately 12.34 million students by 2026 and fall to 9.28 million by 2029 [1]. Kindergarten capacity has contracted sharply since peaking at 289,200 facilities in 2022, declining by nearly 600,000 institutions over the subsequent three years [1].