美国独立刑事司法委员会最新报告显示，美国正在朝着历史性低谋杀率迈进。[1]基于30个美国城市的数据，2026年上半年谋杀率与2025年同期相比下降了18%，较前年同期减少约215起案件。[1]若此趋势持续，美国年度谋杀率将创下超过一个世纪以来的最低水平。[1]
在更广泛的犯罪趋势中，委员会追踪的13类犯罪中有9类出现下降。[1]严重暴力犯罪的致命性下降23%，[1]汽车盗窃、住宅入室盗窃和加重人身攻击均呈下降趋势。[1]其中，住宅入室盗窃较2019年疫情前水平下降了50%。[1]
然而，犯罪下降并非全面。购物扒窃增加5%，毒品犯罪也有小幅增加。[1]在被调查的30个城市中，约三分之一的城市谋杀率反而上升，诺福克增加64%，旧金山增加55%。[1]只有诺福克、奥斯汀、匹兹堡和明尼阿波利斯四个城市的2026年上半年谋杀案数超过2019年同期水平。[1]
刑事司法委员会主席兼首席执行官亚当·盖尔布表示："这是数十年来最重大的公共安全发展之一。这意味着生命得到拯救，家庭免受创伤，社区恢复稳定。"[1]
Data from 30 American cities shows the nation's homicide rate declining sharply, according to a report from the Council on Criminal Justice. Murder cases dropped 18 percent in the first half of 2026 compared to the same period in 2025, representing approximately 215 fewer killings [1]. If this downward trend continues throughout the year, the United States could achieve its lowest annual murder rate in over a century [1].
The council's analysis tracked 13 categories of crime, finding improvements in nine of them [1]. Beyond homicides, violent crime fatalities fell 23 percent [1], while vehicle thefts and residential burglaries both decreased significantly [1]. Residential break-ins have plummeted 50 percent below pre-pandemic 2019 levels [1].
Not all crime metrics improved uniformly. Shoplifting rose 5 percent, and drug offenses showed modest increases [1]. Additionally, about one-third of the 30 sampled cities experienced rising murder rates, with Norfolk reporting a 64 percent increase and San Francisco a 55 percent jump [1]. Only Norfolk, Austin, Pittsburgh, and Minneapolis recorded first-half 2026 homicide counts exceeding their 2019 levels [1].
Adam Gelb, president and CEO of the Council on Criminal Justice, called the developments "one of the most significant public safety trends in decades," emphasizing that the declines mean "lives are being saved, families spared trauma, and communities regaining stability" [1].